If you want to survive in the game of sports betting, Free Sports Betting Picks Today in Guide then you have to use effective money management. I recommend that you follow these guidelines at all times.
- Only invest what you can realistically afford to lose. Best Football Prediction Site you have to remember that you really do not need to start with al a lot of money. I got started with only $100 dollars and I followed the system and my money has doubled over and over again over the course of years.
- Do not make your initial bet too high. Only invest 5% of your total bankroll for a flat betting system (in which you bet the same amount each time) and no more than 2% for a progressive system. You need to be patient here and allow your systems to do their slow and steady work.
- Increase your initial bets when your bankroll has increased by 25%. This will increase your earning power, Free Sports Betting Picks Today just remember to stick to the suggested percentages in #2.
- Remember to Diversify your portfolio. If you have a total bankroll of $1000 and 4 systems that you would like to use, then each system should be allotted $250 and you have to keep those amounts separate.
You have to be disciplined in your use of your systems and in your money management strategy. It can be difficult especially you are doing exceptionally well or if you are losing badly. You may be tempted to deviate from the systems or the money management guidelines in either of those situations. But do not, The Best Betting Prediction Site just remain diligent and the rewards are sure to follow.
Free Sports Betting Picks Today in Guide?
This is the third instalment in a series of articles on profitable betting through sensible money management. So far, I have discussed the importance of getting value when you bet, to maximise the returns you achieve when your selections win. In the most recent article you should have learned to keep your stakes in proportion to the size of your betting bank.
Today I want to examine a common mistake that often gets punters into serious trouble – chasing your losses.
I don’t think there can be many of us who have not at some time, decided to get back what we just lost by betting a little bigger on the next race. It is sometimes known as progressive staking.
Let’s take a simple scenario: you bet £10 on Red Rum, and he loses. What do you do? Perhaps you continue with your selection methods and come up with another pick in the next race – Best Mate. The price is 6/4F
But, rather than putting another £10 bet on Best Mate, you decide to ‘chase’ your loss from the last race. You add another £7 to your stake so that when Best Mate wins you will pick up an extra £10.50 to recover the bet you lost on Red Rum. Good plan? Could be, after all Best Mate is a sure fire winner, right? May be. May be not!
What happens if Best Mate loses? You are now £27 ‘in the hole’. But you still have a plan. Your next selection is a dead cert winner at Even money. You place your usual £10 stake plus an extra £27 to cover your losses so far. No need to worry. When this one comes in, you will have re-couped your losses and have a £10 profit to show as well.
Let’s take a step back here. You are staking £37 to win a £10 profit. Think about it – you are effectively getting odds of only around 1 to 4 odds-on about a horse that is Even money in the market. That is terrible value!
You may escape this time and your horse may well win. But what if, heaven forbid, your red-hot even money favourite fails to win? After just three bets, you are down to the tune of £64 when your normal stake is just a tenner!
Long losing runs do occur, more frequently than you might think, and even with short-priced selections.
If you spent a day in a casino at the roulette tables, and analysed how many times you witnessed a run of 7 or 8 consecutive ‘red’ numbers, I would not be at all surprised if you saw this happen four or five times – in a single day. Here we have pretty much a 50/50 bet, even money, that the roulette ball will land in either a red or a black slot. Yet I was amazed to learn that the longest run of the same colour (reported) was THIRTY-NINE consecutive reds!!
Imagine if you were betting on black, and saying to yourself each time “no worries, it’s got to be black next time…. Surely?”
But let’s go back to the more common occurrence of a losing run of 7 even money bets. We will be betting on the red.
We place a £1 bet on the first spin. It’s black. We chase our loss by ‘doubling up’ and next bet £2. If we were to carry on in this manner, after 6 spins we would be betting £64 to win our original £1
I sincerely hope my point is getting across. By chasing your losses you can very quickly see your stakes climbing to preposterous levels, to win your original, relatively small stake. The risk is way out of proportion compared to the potential reward.
One last example to really ram the point home. The Racing Post runs a tipster competition. All the leading racing journalists are involved, representing the nation’s newspapers and horse racing publications. These are experts at tipping horses. Take a look at the results table any day, and see for yourself the longest losing run. Remember, these are the experts.
I looked today, and Racing Post PostData has suffered this season a losing run of twenty-seven. Twenty-seven consecutive losers from an expert tipster! And believe me, he is not on his own, just the worst offender this season so far.
There is an old saying – “Don’t throw good money after bad”. If your selections don’t make a profit from simple level stakes betting, don’t try and make them profitable by throwing more money at them. You may survive with a profit for a while, but this approach is a disaster waiting to happen. Sooner or later you WILL blow your entire bank chasing a disproportionately small profit.
If your selections don’t make a profit from simple level stakes betting, change your system.
Betting On The Tigers This Weekend Gets Tricky!
The core of any punter's arsenal is the dutching calculator, which is indeed a very influential tool. Dutching (as reputedly named after Al Capone's accountant who liked to use this method to back horses) is an excellent way of wagering more than one horse in a race such that if either of them win then the return is the same no matter who wins.Dutching techniques are used when one analyses a race to find two, or more, powerful horses in the race. One then has a variety of options. The first, and simplest, is to leave the race alone. The next is to try to work out which amongst these candidates is the one to back or, thirdly, one can 'Dutch' them up that if any of these horses win then a profit can be made. This is where the dutching calculator comes into play.Dutching is the process used to back more than one horse in a race and by mathematically placing the correct bet on each horse so that whichever horse wins the same amount of money is returned assuming, of course, that one of the backed horses actually does win.Dutching calculator is a very powerful betting device and is reputedly named after Al Capone's accountant who used this to great effect when backing horses. This calculator for dutching tells you how much to stake on each selection to ensure an equal profit no matter which one wins. Simply enter the price for each of your fancied selections in decimal format and your maximum total stake below.In particular, this dutching calculator allows one to bet with a preset stake or to get educated how much one should wager to return a fixed profit, it at all possible. In addition this calculator for dutching allows the user to enter either the traditional fractional odds or the 'American' decimal odds as used on the betting exchanges.Enter in the Stake box the figure that you wish to stake in total or enter in the Profit box the revenue you are looking to make with a successful Dutch. Then add in each of the boxes place the odds of the horses which you wish to back.This Dutching calculator, despite its simple interface, has a variety of features. First, the prices can be entered to either the decimal format (as seen on the exchanges) or in partial format (as used by bookmakers). If the price entered has a '/' (e.g. 100/30) then the Decimal format is unspecified.Second, with calculator for dutching, one the user can select the answer required. The user can choose between the "I have a £100 to place on this race, how do I divide it up?" option and the "I would like to win £100 on this race.Third, it figures out the revenue (on a successful bet, of course) and the ROI% (Return on Investment) so that the user can work out if this Dutching bet is will be profitable, as no one wants a negative profit, and worth the risk.In big fields, no matter what the sport, more often than not, you'll fancy more than two probabilities. Rather than pick one and kick yourself when the one you neglected compels, it's rational to 'Dutch' and back them all - and you can get surprisingly first class returns as long as the prices are big enough. With the use of dutching calculator, all of these possibilities can turn into a reality.